Probability Drop Calculator

Calculate exact drop probabilities and expected outcomes.

Drop Settings

1 in 20 chance

Attempts Needed

For 50% chance14
For 90% chance45
For 99% chance90

Chance of 1+ Drops

92.31%
in 50 attempts

Expected Drops

2.50
+/- 1.54

Dry Streak Chance

7.6945%
0 drops

Probability Details

At least 192.31%
Exactly 120.2487%
At most 127.94%

Distribution

0
7.6945%
1
20.2487%
2
26.1101%
3
21.9875%
4
13.5975%
5
6.5841%
6
2.5990%
7
0.8598%
8
0.2432%
9
0.0597%
10
0.0129%
11
0.0025%