Baseball Pythagorean Expectation Calculator
Calculate expected wins based on runs scored and allowed using Bill James' Pythagorean formula
About Pythagorean Expectation
Pythagorean Expectation, developed by Bill James, predicts a team's expected winning percentage based on runs. The formula is: Win% = RS^exp / (RS^exp + RA^exp). The original exponent was 2, but 1.83 (Pythagenpat) is more accurate. Teams that significantly outperform their Pythagorean record often regress the following season.
💡
Help us improve!
How would you rate the Baseball Pythagorean Expectation Calculator?
Editorial Note
MyCalcBuddy Editorial Team
This page is maintained as an educational calculator reference.
📚
Formula Source: Standard Mathematical References
by Various
🔄Last reviewed: May 2026
✓Formula checks are based on standard references and internal QA review.